Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Policy Learning and Policy Failure$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Claire Dunlop

Print publication date: 2020

Print ISBN-13: 9781447352006

Published to Policy Press Scholarship Online: September 2020

DOI: 10.1332/policypress/9781447352006.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM POLICY PRESS SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.policypress.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Policy Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in PPSO for personal use.date: 25 July 2021

Policy myopia as a source of policy failure: adaptation and policy learning under deep uncertainty

Policy myopia as a source of policy failure: adaptation and policy learning under deep uncertainty

Chapter:
(p.133) 7 Policy myopia as a source of policy failure: adaptation and policy learning under deep uncertainty
Source:
Policy Learning and Policy Failure
Author(s):

Sreeja Nair

Michael Howlett

Publisher:
Policy Press
DOI:10.1332/policypress/9781447352006.003.0007

This chapter introduces the idea of ‘policy myopia’ as a pressing source of failure in policy making and explores the possibility of developing policies that learn to help mitigate its impacts. It notes that while the problem of bounded rationality and short-term uncertainty is widely acknowledged as the central existential condition for all policy making, the long-term problem of an uncertain, and sometimes unknowable, future is rarely acknowledged. As uncertainty deepens, so too does the probability of policy failure. In these circumstances, actors need to design policies with flexibility and adaptation built in. Where policy solutions are robust over a range of possible scenarios and over time, one can say policies have learning capacity organised into them. Yet, in cases of radical uncertainty, learning may not be possible (or indeed preferable) at all. This reminder of the limits of learning is important. Updating one's belief systems assumes that a certain amount of knowledge exists in the first place.

Keywords:   policy myopia, policy failure, policy making, policy development, bounded rationality, uncertainty, adaptation, policy solutions, policy learning

Policy Press Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs, and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us.