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The New Dynamics of Ageing Volume 1$
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Alan Walker

Print publication date: 2018

Print ISBN-13: 9781447314721

Published to Policy Press Scholarship Online: September 2018

DOI: 10.1332/policypress/9781447314721.001.0001

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PRINTED FROM POLICY PRESS SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.policypress.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Policy Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in PPSO for personal use.date: 18 September 2021

Modelling ageing populations to 2030: financing long-term care in England

Modelling ageing populations to 2030: financing long-term care in England

(p.15) Two Modelling ageing populations to 2030: financing long-term care in England
The New Dynamics of Ageing Volume 1

Michael Murphy

Ruth Hancock

Raphael Wittenberg

Bo Hu

Marcello Morciano

Adelina Comas-Herrera

Policy Press

This chapter presents some findings from the research project ‘Modelling Needs and Resources of Older People to 2030’ (MAP2030). The project developed a set of projection models to estimate future family circumstances, incomes, pensions, savings, disability and care needs of older people in England. These projections included public and private expenditure on pensions, disability benefits and care services under different scenarios for reform of pensions and long-term care funding under a range of alternative population futures. The chapter focuses on the projected future costs and impacts for the different income quintiles of the older population of proposed reforms to the system of funding adult social care, in particular the impact of a cap on individual liability to meet care costs.

Keywords:   Population projections, Long Term Care, Modelling, Care Costs

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